This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
High-Frequency Principal Components and Evolution of Liquidity in a Limit Order Market Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Konstantin Tyurin
The paper applies a popular methodology of competing risks to the analysis of the timing and interaction between the Deutsche Mark/U.S. dollar transactions, quotes, and cancellations in the Reuters D2000-2 electronic brokerage system. Consistently with previous stock market studies, the bid-ask spread and market depth at the best bid and ask quotes are found to be major determinants of limit order market dynamics at ultra-high frequencies. Consistently with the microstructure approach to exchange rate determination, the signed transaction activity appears to be the main factor behind the limit order market dynamics at lower frequencies. Application of principal component analysis to the covariate indices of competing risks identifies five pervasive factors that capture 85% of the Reuters D2000-2 limit order book activity. The multifactor competing risks model substantially improves the quality of short-term probability forecasts for buyer- and seller initiated transactions, relative to popular moving average-type forecasting rules
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
file . Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings with number
579.
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML ,
plain text ,
BibTeX ,
RIS (EndNote),
ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ecm:nasm04:579Contact details of provider: Phone: 1 212 998 3820 Fax: 1 212 995 4487 Email: Web page: http://www.econometricsociety.org/pastmeetings.asp More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Christopher F. Baum).
Keywords: foreign exchange limit order market order order flow liquidity competing risks principal component probability forecast Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Auctions
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Burton Hollifield & Robert A. Miller & patrik Sandas, .
"An Empirical Analysis of Limit Order Markets ,"
Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers
29-99, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
[Downloadable!]
Martin D. D. Evans and Richard K. Lyons., 1999.
"Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Research Program in Finance Working Papers
RPF-288, University of California at Berkeley.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Martin Evans & Richard Lyons, 1999.
"Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series
1007, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
[Downloadable!] Martin D.D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 1999.
"Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
NBER Working Papers
7317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Martin D. D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2002.
"Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(1), pages 170-180, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Griffiths, Mark D. & Smith, Brian F. & Turnbull, D. Alasdair S. & White, Robert W., 2000.
"The costs and determinants of order aggressiveness ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 65-88, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lo, Andrew W. & MacKinlay, A. Craig & Zhang, June, 2002.
"Econometric models of limit-order executions ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 31-71, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Foucault, Thierry & Kadan, Ohad & Kandel, Eugene, 2001.
"Limit Order Book as a Market for Liquidity ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2889, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
FOUCAULT, Thierry & KADAN, Ohad & KANDEL, Eugene, 2001.
"Limit order book as a market for liquidity ,"
Les Cahiers de Recherche
728, Groupe HEC.
[Downloadable!] Thierry Foucault & Ohad Kadan & Eugene Kandel, 2003.
"Limit Order Book as a Market for Liquidity ,"
Discussion Paper Series
dp321, Center for Rationality and Interactive Decision Theory, Hebrew University, Jerusalem.
[Downloadable!] Thierry Foucault & Ohad Kadan & Eugene Kandel, 2005.
"Limit Order Book as a Market for Liquidity ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(4), pages 1171-1217.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Parlour, Christine A, 1998.
"Price Dynamics in Limit Order Markets ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 789-816.
Foucault, Thierry, 1999.
"Order flow composition and trading costs in a dynamic limit order market1 ,"
Journal of Financial Markets ,
Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 99-134, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Easley, David & O'Hara, Maureen, 1992.
" Time and the Process of Security Price Adjustment ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 576-605, June.
Jones, Charles M & Kaul, Gautam & Lipson, Marc L, 1994.
"Transactions, Volume, and Volatility ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(4), pages 631-51.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Chakravarty Sugato & Holden Craig W., 1995.
"An Integrated Model of Market and Limit Orders ,"
Journal of Financial Intermediation ,
Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 213-241, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Huang, Roger D & Stoll, Hans R, 1997.
"The Components of the Bid-Ask Spread: A General Approach ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 995-1034.
Hausman, Jerry A. & Lo, Andrew W. & MacKinlay, A. Craig, 1992.
"An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices ,"
Journal of Financial Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 319-379, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Hausman, Jerry A. & Lo, Andrew W. & MacKinlay, Archie Craig, 1955-, 1990.
"An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices ,"
Working papers
3234-90., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
[Downloadable!] Hausman, J.A. & Lo, A.W. & MacKinlay, A.C., 1991.
"An Ordered Probit Analysis of Transaction Stock Prices ,"
Weiss Center Working Papers
26-91, Wharton School - Weiss Center for International Financial Research.
Jerry A. Hausman & Andrew W. Lo & A. Craig MacKinlay, 1991.
"An Ordered Probit Analysis of Transaction Stock Prices ,"
NBER Working Papers
3888, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Goodhart, Charles A. E. & O'Hara, Maureen, 1997.
"High frequency data in financial markets: Issues and applications ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 73-114, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Brown, Philip & Thomson, Nathanial & Walsh, David, 1999.
"Characteristics of the order flow through an electronic open limit order book ,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money ,
Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 335-357, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hasbrouck, Joel, 2002.
"Stalking the "efficient price" in market microstructure specifications: an overview ,"
Journal of Financial Markets ,
Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 329-339, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Engle, Robert F. & Russell, Jeffrey R., 1997.
"Forecasting the frequency of changes in quoted foreign exchange prices with the autoregressive conditional duration model ,"
Journal of Empirical Finance ,
Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 187-212, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: C. L. Osler, 2002.
"Stop-loss orders and price cascades in currency markets ,"
Staff Reports
150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Anat R. Admati, Paul Pfleiderer, 1988.
"A Theory of Intraday Patterns: Volume and Price Variability ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 3-40.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hamao, Yasushi & Hasbrouck, Joel, 1995.
"Securities Trading in the Absence of Dealers: Trades and Quotes on the Tokyo Stock Exchange ,"
Review of Financial Studies ,
Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(3), pages 849-78.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lyons, Richard K, 2001.
"New Perspective on FX Markets: Order-Flow Analysis ,"
International Finance ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 303-20, Summer.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Biais, Bruno & Hillion, Pierre & Spatt, Chester, 1995.
" An Empirical Analysis of the Limit Order Book and the Order Flow in the Paris Bourse ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1655-89, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Handa, Puneet & Schwartz, Robert A, 1996.
" Limit Order Trading ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1835-61, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references
Access and
download statistics Did you know? The RePEc project started in 1997. Its precursor, NetEc, dates back to 1993.
This page was last updated on 2008-8-11.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .