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A Bayesian MCMC Algorithm for Markov Switching GARCH models

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Author Info
Dhiman Das
B.Hark Yoo
Abstract

Markov switching GARCH models have been developed in order to address the statistical regularity observed in financial time series such as strong persistence of conditional variance. However, Maximum Likelihood Estimation faces a implementation problem since the conditional variance depends on all the past history of state. This paper shows that this problem can be handled easily in Bayesian inference. A new Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced and proves to work well in a numerical example.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings with number 451.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:feam04:451

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Related research
Keywords: Bayesian Analysis; GARCH; Markov Switching.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General

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  1. Luc, BAUWENS & Arie, PREMINGER & Jeroen, ROMBOUTS, 2007. "Theory and inference for a Markov switching GARCH model," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2007033, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
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