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Does Exchange Rate Variability Matter for Welfare? A Quantitative Investigation of Stabilization Policies

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Author Info
Bergin, Paul (U of California, Davis)
Shin, Hyung-Cheol (U of California, Davis)
Tchakarov, Ivan (International Monetary Fund)

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Abstract

This paper evaluates quantitatively the potential welfare gains from monetary policy and fixed exchange rate rules in a two-country sticky-price model. The first finding is that the gains from stabilization tend to be small in the types of economic environments emphasized in recent theoretical literature. The analysis goes on to identify two types of economies in which the welfare implications of risk are larger: where agents exhibit habits, and where international asset markets exhibit asymmetry in the form of "original sin." In the habits case, monetary policy aimed solely at inflation stabilization is optimal. But in the original sin case there are potentially large welfare gains from also eliminating exchange rate volatility.

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Paper provided by University of California at Davis, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 05-12.

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Date of creation: Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ecl:ucdeco:05-12

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F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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  1. Ioana Moldovan, 2008. "Countercyclical Fiscal Policy and Cyclical Factor Utilization," Working Papers 2008_15, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  2. Danny Leung, 2008. "Markups in Canada: Have They Changed and Why?," Working Papers 08-8, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  3. Raimundo Soto & Ibrahim A. Elbadawi., 2007. "Theory and Empirics of Real Exchange Rates in Developing Countries," Documentos de Trabajo 324, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.. [Downloadable!]
  4. Raimundo Soto, 2008. "Unemployment and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Latin American Economies," Documentos de Trabajo 337, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.. [Downloadable!]
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