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Assessing the Efficiency Gains from Further Liberalization

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  • Frankel, Jeffrey

    (Harvard U)

Abstract

The paper begins by arguing that globalization, which here means reductions in the remaining barriers to international trade, still has a long way to go. Next it briefly reviews the evidence on the economic benefits from globalization, followed by a consideration of the non-economic effects in such areas as the environment. A section on what should be the priority areas for multilateral trade negotiations considers form (regional vs. multilateral, the new role of developing countries, the new role of NGOs), sectors (textiles, other manufactures, agriculture, services), and other issues (anti-dumping, competition policy, investment, and government procurement). The paper concludes with a rough quantitative estimate of the economic benefits of a new WTO round. Other authors, using static models, have estimated that a new round might raise trade over the next five years by about $300 billion, and that this might raise global welfare on the order of 1 per cent of world income. But the implied 20 per cent increase in global trade volumes may have further benefits. The author’s back-of-the-envelope attempt to take into account also dynamic gains says that if multilateral liberalization raised the global level of merchandise trade from 37 per cent of world income to 45 per cent, it could raise global income per capita by roughly 2 per cent over the subsequent two decades.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government in its series Working Paper Series with number rwp01-030.

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Date of creation: Sep 2001
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Handle: RePEc:ecl:harjfk:rwp01-030

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Cited by:
  1. He, Kathy S. & Morck, Randall & Yeung, Bernard, 2003. "Corporate Stability and Economic Growth," CEI Working Paper Series 2003-12, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
  2. Kan Li & Randall Morck & Fan Yang & Bernard Yeung, 2003. "Firm-Specific Variation and Openness in Emerging Markets," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 2003-623, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.

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