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Foreign Trade and Equilibrium Indeterminacy Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Aguiar-Conraria, Luis (Cornell U and NIPE, U of Minho)
Wen, Yi (Cornell U)
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We show that dependence of production on foreign inputs (or non-producible natural resources) can significantly increase the likelihood of indeterminacy. Payment of imported foreign factors of production may act as a semi-fixed cost, amplifying production externalities and returns to scale, making self-fulfilling expectations driven busyness cycles easier to arise. This is demonstrated using a standard neoclassical growth model. Calibration exercise shows that the required increasing returns to scale can be reduced by as much as 64% based on estimated share of foreign inputs in production for OECD countries.
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Paper provided by Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics in its series Working Papers with number
04-09.
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Date of creation: May 2004Date of revision:
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Find related papers by JEL classification: E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data) E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
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Mino, Kazuo, 2008.
"Financial integration and volatility in a two-country world ,"
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Kazuo Mino, 2008.
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Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Yi Wen, 2007.
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"Understanding the Impact of Oil Shocks ,"
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"Tariff and Equilibrium Indeterminacy--A Note ,"
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