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The Nature of the Steady State in Models of Optimal Growth Under Uncertainty

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Author Info
Mitra, Tapan (Cornell U)
Montrucchio, Luigi (U of Turin)
Privileggi, Fabio (Universita degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale)

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Abstract

We study a one-sector stochastic optimal growth model with a representative agent. Utility is logarithmic and the production function is of the Cobb-Douglas form with capital exponent alpha. Production is affected by a multiplicative shock taking one of two values with positive probabilities p and 1 - p. It is well known that for this economy, optimal paths converge to a unique steady state, which is an invariant distribution. We are concerned with properties of this distribution. By using the theory of Iterated Function Systems, we are able to characterize such a distribution in terms of singularity versus absolute continuity as parameters alpha and p change. We establish mutual singularity of the invariant distributions as p varies between 0 and 1 whenever alpha < 1/2. More delicate is the case alpha > 1/2. Singularity with respect to Lebesgue measure also appears for values alpha, p such that alpha < p[superscript p] (1 - p) [superscript (1 - p)]. For alpha > p[superscript p] (1 - p) [superscript (1 - p)] and 1/3 <= p <= 2/3, Peres and Solomyak (1998) have shown that the distribution is a.e. absolutely continuous. Characterization of the invariant distribution in the remaining cases is still an open question. The entire analysis is summarized through a bifurcation diagram, drawn in terms of pairs (alpha, p).

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Paper provided by Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics in its series Working Papers with number 01-04.

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Date of creation: 2001
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Handle: RePEc:ecl:corcae:01-04

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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  1. Donaldson, John B. & Mehra, Rajnish, 1983. "Stochastic growth with correlated production shocks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 282-312, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Mirman, Leonard J., 1973. "The steady state behavior of a class of one sector growth models with uncertain technology," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 219-242, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Hopenhayn, Hugo A & Prescott, Edward C, 1992. "Stochastic Monotonicity and Stationary Distributions for Dynamic Economies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(6), pages 1387-406, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mirman, Leonard J. & Zilcha, Itzhak, 1975. "On optimal growth under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 329-339, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Brock, William A. & Mirman, Leonard J., 1972. "Optimal economic growth and uncertainty: The discounted case," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 479-513, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Futia, Carl A, 1982. "Invariant Distributions and the Limiting Behavior of Markovian Economic Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(2), pages 377-408, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Brock, W. A. & Majumdar, M., 1978. "Global asymptotic stability results for multisector models of optimal growth under uncertainty when future utilities are discounted," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 225-243, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Mitra, Tapan & Privileggi, Fabio, 2003. "Cantor Type Invariant Distributions in the Theory of Optimal Growth under Uncertainty," Working Papers 03-09, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Olson, Lars & Roy, Santanu, 2005. "Theory of Stochastic Optimal Economic Growth," Working Papers 28601, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Guido Cozzi & Fabio Privileggi, 2002. "Wealth Polarization and Pulverization in Fractal Societies," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 39-2002, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  4. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2006. "Stochastic Optimal Growth with Bounded or Unbounded Utility and with Bounded or Unbounded Shocks," Discussion Paper Series 189, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University. [Downloadable!]
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