Stock Returns Following Profit Warnings: A Test of Models of Behavioural Finance
AbstractModels in behavioural finance have been developed to explain apparent anomalies in stock returns. A property common to a number of these models is that agents under react in the short run to public signals about future earnings. This contrasts sharply with the popular informal belief that stock prices overreact to news. A behavioural model also predicts returns reversals over longer horizons. We examine stock returns following profit warnings to test which, if any, of these hypotheses stands up to scrutiny on a new data set which was generated by a process which corresponds closely to that assumed in the behavioural models.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Royal Economic Society in its series Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 with number 37.
Date of creation: 29 Aug 2002
Date of revision:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2002-07-08 (All new papers)
- NEP-FIN-2002-07-08 (Finance)
- NEP-FMK-2002-07-08 (Financial Markets)
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- Barnes, Paul, 2010. "Insider dealing and market abuse: the UKs record on enforcement," MPRA Paper 25585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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