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What explains the spread between the euro overnight rate and the ECB's policy rate?

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Author Info
Tobias Linzert () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Sandra Schmidt () (Centre for European Economic Research, L7, 1, D-68161 Mannheim, Germany.)

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Abstract

We employ a time series econometric framework to explore the structural determinants of the spread between the European Overnight Rate and the ECB’s Policy Rate (EONIA spread) aiming to explain the widening of the EONIA spread from mid-2004 to mid-2006. In particular, we estimate a model on the EONIA spread since the introduction of the new operational framework in March 2004 until August 2006. We show that the increase in the EONIA spread can for the largest part be explained by the current liquidity deficit. Moreover, tight liquidity conditions as well as an increase in banks’ liquidity uncertainty lead to a significant upward pressure on the spread. The ECB’s liquidity policy only reduces the spread if a loose policy is conducted during the last week of a maintenance period. Interestingly, interest rate expectations have not been found to have an important influence. JEL Classification: E43, E52, C22.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 983.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20080983

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Related research
Keywords: Overnight Market Rate (EONIA); Interest Rate Determination; Monetary Policy Implementation; Operational Framework.;

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  1. Hassler, Uwe & Nautz, Dieter, 2008. "On the persistence of the Eonia spread," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 184-187, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Bindseil, Ulrich & Nyborg, Kjell G & Strebulaev, Ilya, 2004. "Bidding and Performance in Repo Auctions: Evidence from ECB Open Market Operations," CEPR Discussion Papers 4367, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Juan Ayuso & Rafael Repullo, 2003. "A Model of the Open Market Operations of the European Central Bank," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(490), pages 883-902, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Nautz, Dieter, 1997. "How Auctions Reveal Information: A Case Study on German REPO Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 29(1), pages 17-25, February.
  5. Ulrike Neyer & Jürgen Wiemers, 2004. "The Influence of a Heterogeneous Banking Sector on the Interbank Market Rate in the Euro Area," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 140(III), pages 395-428, September. [Downloadable!]
  6. Julius Moschitz, 2004. "The determinants of the overnight interest rate in the euro area," Working Paper Series 393, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Linzert, Tobias & Nautz, Dieter & Bindseil, Ulrich, 2007. "Bidding behavior in the longer term refinancing operations of the European Central Bank: Evidence from a panel sample selection model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1521-1543, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Quiros, Gabriel Perez & Mendizabal, Hugo Rodriguez, 2006. "The Daily Market for Funds in Europe: What Has Changed with the EMU?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(1), pages 91-118, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Steen Ejerskov & Clara Martin Moss & Livio Stracca, 2003. "How does the ECB allot liquidity in its weekly main refinancing operations? A look at the empirical evidence," Working Paper Series 244, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  10. Linzert, Tobias & Nautz, Dieter & Breitung, Jorg, 2006. "Bidder behavior in central bank repo auctions: Evidence from the Bundesbank," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 215-230, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Välimäki , Tuomas, 2006. "Why the marginal MRO rate exceeds the ECB policy rate?," Research Discussion Papers 20/2006, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
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