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Modeling autoregressive conditional skewness and kurtosis with Multi-quantile CAViaR

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Author Info
Halbert White () (Department of Economics, University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive 0508, La Jolla, California 92093-0508, USA.)
Tae-Hwan Kim () (School of Economics, University of Nottingham, University Park Nottingham NG7 2RD, U.K..)
Simone Manganelli () (European Central Bank, DG-Research, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)

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Abstract

Engle and Manganelli (2004) propose CAViaR, a class of models suitable for estimating conditional quantiles in dynamic settings. Engle and Manganelli apply their approach to the estimation of Value at Risk, but this is only one of many possible applications. Here we extend CAViaR models to permit joint modeling of multiple quantiles, Multi-Quantile (MQ) CAViaR. We apply our new methods to estimate measures of conditional skewness and kurtosis defined in terms of conditional quantiles, analogous to the unconditional quantile-based measures of skewness and kurtosis studied by Kim and White (2004). We investigate the performance of our methods by simulation, and we apply MQ-CAViaR to study conditional skewness and kurtosis of S&P 500 daily returns. JEL Classification: C13, C32.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 957.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20080957

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Related research
Keywords: Asset returns; CAViaR; conditional quantiles; dynamic quantiles; kurtosis; skewness.;

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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