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International stock return comovements

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Author Info
Geert Bekaert () (Columbia Business School, Uris Hall 802, 3022 Broadway, New York, NY 10027, USA.)
Robert J. Hodrick () (Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA and NBER, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.)
Xiaoyan Zhang () (Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.)

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Abstract

We examine international stock return comovements using country-industry and country-style portfolios as the base portfolios. We first establish that parsimonious risk-based factor models capture the covariance structure of the data better than the popular Heston-Rouwenhorst (1994)model. We then establish the following stylized facts regarding stock return comovements. First, we do not find evidence for an upward trend in return correlations, except for the European stock markets. Second, the increasing importance of industry factors relative to country factors was a short-lived, temporary phenomenon. JEL Classification: C52, G11, G12.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 931.

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Length: 62 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20080931

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Related research
Keywords: Comovements; APT model; international diversification; correlation dynamics; industry-country debate; factor models; global market integration.;

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  5. Allan Timmerman & Luis Catão, 2003. "Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns," IMF Working Papers 03/52, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R, 1995. " Time-Varying World Market Integration," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 403-44, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Quinn, Dennis & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2008. "Free Flows, Limited Diversification: Explaining the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001," CEPR Discussion Papers 7013, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Dennis Quinn & Joachim Voth, 2006. "A Century of Global Equity Market Correlations," Economics Working Papers 1119, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Andrew Ang & Robert J. Hodrick & Yuhang Xing & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2008. "High Idiosyncratic Volatility and Low Returns: International and Further U.S. Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13739, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Claudio Morana, 2008. "International stock markets comovements: the role of economic and financial integration," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 333-359, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Lewis, Karen K., 2006. "Is the International Diversification Potential Diminishing? Foreign Equity Inside and Outside the US," Working Papers 06-6, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center. [Downloadable!]
  6. Roberto A. De Santis & Lucio Sarno, 2008. "Assessing the benefits of international portfolio diversification in bonds and stocks," Working Paper Series 883, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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