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Assessing the impact of a change in the composition of public spending - a DSGE approach Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Roland Straub () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstraße 29, 60311 Frankfurt, Germany. )
Ivan Tchakarov () (International Monetary Fund (IMF) Asia and Pacific Department, 700 19th Street NW, Washington, DC 20431, USA. )
Despite intense calls for safeguarding public investment in Europe, public investment expenditure, when measured in relation to GDP, has steadily fallen in the last three decades, evoking fears that economic activity may be correspondingly negatively affected. At the same time, however, public consumption in the EU-12 countries has trended up. In this paper, we provide a macroeconomic assessment of the observed change in the composition of public spending in the euro area in a medium-scale two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. First, we analyze the channels through which, both temporary and permanent public investment shocks generate larger fiscal multipliers than exogenous increases in public consumption. Furthermore, we quantify the negative impact of a change in fiscal stance, characterized by a permanent rise in public consumption and a permanent fall in public investment, keeping thereby the overall level of public spending constant. The key message of the paper is that calls for reversing the observed trend in the composition of public spending are well justified. JEL Classification: F41, F42.
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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number
795.
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Length: 49 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20070795Contact details of provider: Postal: Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany Phone: +49 69 1344 0 Fax: +49 69 1344 6000 Web page: http://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Public investment Public consumption Euro area DSGE models. Other versions of this item:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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