Policy rate decisions and unbiased parameter estimation in typical monetary policy rules
AbstractPolicymakers do not always follow a simple rule for setting policy rates for various reasons and thus their choices are co-driven by a decision to follow a rule or not. Consequently, some observations are censored and cause bias in conventional estimators of typical Taylor rules. To account for the censored and discrete process of policy rate setting, I devise a new method for monetary policy rule estimation and demonstrate its ability to outperform the existing conventional estimators using two examples. JEL Classification: E4, E5
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 0771.
Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
- E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-07-07 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2007-07-07 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2007-07-07 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2007-07-07 (Monetary Economics)
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- Podpiera, Jirí, 2008. "The role of ad hoc factors in policy rate settings," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 1003-1010, September.
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