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Tax reform and labour-market performance in the euro area - a simulation-based analysis using the New Area-Wide Model

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Author Info
Günter Coenen () (Directorate General Research, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Peter McAdam () (Directorate General Research, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Roland Straub () (Directorate General International and European Relations, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)

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Abstract

In this paper, we employ a calibrated two-country version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) currently under development at the European Central Bank to examine the potential benefits and spillovers of reducing labour-market distortions caused by euro area tax structures. Our analysis shows that lowering tax distortions to levels prevailing in the United States would result in an increase in hours worked and output by more than 10 percent. At the same time, tax reductions would have positive spillovers to the euro area’s trade partners, bolstering the case for tax reforms from a global perspective. Finally, we illustrate that, in the presence of heterogeneous households, distributional effects may be of importance when gauging the impact of tax reforms. JEL Classification: E32, E62.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 747.

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Length: 71 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2007
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20070747

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Keywords: DSGE modelling limited asset-market participation fiscal policy tax reform euro area.

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ivan Tchakarov & Roland Straub, 2007. "Assessing the Impact of a Change in the Composition of Public Spending: A DSGE Approach," IMF Working Papers 07/168, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Rene Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007. "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports 98, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  3. Elöd Takáts & Tamás K. Papp, 2008. "Tax Rate Cuts and Tax Compliance--The Laffer Curve Revisited," IMF Working Papers 08/7, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2007. "State-dependency and firm-level optimization - a contribution to Calvo price staggering," Working Paper Series 806, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 2007. "Macroeconomic Modeling for Monetary Policy Evaluation," Economics Working Papers 1039, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2007. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Silvia Sgherri & Tamim Bayoumi, 2006. "Mr. Ricardo's Great Adventure: Estimating Fiscal Multipliers in a Truly Intertemporal Model," IMF Working Papers 06/168, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Ángel Estrada, 2006. "BEMOD: a DSGE model for the Spanish economy and the rest of the Euro area," Banco de España Working Papers 0631, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  8. Richard Mash, 2007. "Phillips-Curve Dynamics: Mark-Up Cyclicality, Effective Hours and Regime-Dependency," Kiel Working Papers 1359, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
  9. Günter Coenen & Giovanni Lombardo & Frank Smets & Roland Straub, 2008. "International transmission and monetary policy cooperation," Working Paper Series 858, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  10. Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Working Paper Series 709, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  11. Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2008. "Risk Management in Action. Robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty," Working Paper Series 870, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  12. Selim Elekdag & René Lalonde & Douglas Laxton & Dirk Muir & Paolo Pesenti, 2007. "Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment," Working Papers 07-34, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Ali Choudhary & Paul Levine, 2006. "The 24/7 Society and Multiple Habits," Department of Economics Discussion Papers 0506, Department of Economics, University of Surrey. [Downloadable!]
  14. Günter Coenen & Matthias Mohr & Roland Straub, 2008. "Fiscal consolidation in the euro area - long-run benefits and short-run costs," Working Paper Series 902, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Eric Mayer & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2007. "The Price Puzzle Revisited: Can the Cost Channel Explain a Rise in Inflation after a Monetary Policy Shock?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
  16. Tamim Bayoumi & Silvia Sgherri, 2007. "On the Impact of Income and Policy Shocks on Consumption," DNB Working Papers 152, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  17. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2007. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series 759, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Roland Straub & Ivan Tchakarov, 2007. "Assessing the impact of a change in the composition of public spending - a DSGE approach," Working Paper Series 795, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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