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Transaction costs and informational cascades in financial markets - theory and experimental evidence

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Author Info
Marco Cipriani () (Department of Economics, George Washington University, 2121 I Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20052, US.)
Antonio Guarino () (Department of Economics and ELSE, University College, Gower Street, London WCIE 6BT, UK.)

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Abstract

We study the effect of transaction costs (e.g., a trading fee or a transaction tax, like the Tobin tax) on the aggregation of private information in financial markets. We analyze a financial market à la Glosten and Milgrom, in which informed and uninformed traders trade in sequence with a market maker. Traders have to pay a cost in order to trade. We show that, eventually, all informed traders decide not to trade, independently of their private information, i.e., an informational cascade occurs. We replicated our financial market in the laboratory. We found that, in the experiment, informational cascades occur when the theory suggests they should. Nevertheless, the ability of the price to aggregate private information is not significantly affected. JEL Classification: C92, D8, G14.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 736.

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Length: 51 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20070736

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Keywords: Informational Cascades; Herd Behavior; Trade Costs; Tobin Tax.;

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  1. David Hirshleifer & Siew Hong Teoh, 2003. "Herd Behaviour and Cascading in Capital Markets: a Review and Synthesis," European Financial Management, Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 25-66. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Avery, Christopher & Zemsky, Peter, 1998. "Multidimensional Uncertainty and Herd Behavior in Financial Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 724-48, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Gale, Douglas, 1996. "What have we learned from social learning?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 617-628, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Domowitz, Ian & Glen, Jack & Madhavan, Ananth, 2001. "Liquidity, Volatility and Equity Trading Costs across Countries and over Time," International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 221-55, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Glosten, Lawrence R. & Milgrom, Paul R., 1985. "Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 71-100, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Marco Cipriani & Antonio Guarino, 2005. "Herd Behavior in a Laboratory Financial Market," Experimental 0502002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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