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Financial integration of new EU Member States

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Author Info
Lorenzo Cappiello () (DG Research, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)
Bruno Gérard () (Mellon Capital Management, 595 Market Street Suite 3000, San Francisco, CA 94105.)
Arjan Kadareja ()
Simone Manganelli () (DG Research, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

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Abstract

This study assesses the degree of financial integration for a selected number of new EU member states between themselves and with the euro zone. Within the framework of a factor model for market returns, we measure integration as the amount of variance explained by the common factor relative to the local components. We show that this measure of integration coincides with return correlation. Correlations are proxied by comovements, estimated via a regression quantile-based methodology. We find that the largest new member states, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, exhibit strong comovements both between themselves and with the euro area. As for smaller countries, only Estonia and to a less extent Cyprus show increased integration both with the euro zone and the block of large economies. In the bond markets, we document an increase in integration only for the Czech Republic versus Germany and Poland. JEL Classification: C32, F30, G12.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 683.

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Length: 72 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20060683

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Related research
Keywords: Integration; new EU member states; regression quantile.;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  3. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Bekaert, Geert & Urias, Michael S, 1996. " Diversification, Integration and Emerging Market Closed-End Funds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(3), pages 835-69, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Lieven Baele & Annalisa Ferrando & Peter Hördahl & Elizaveta Krylova & Cyril Monnet, 2004. "Measuring financial integration in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 14, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Rockinger, Michael & Urga, Giovanni, 2000. "A Time Varying Parameter Model to Test for Predictability and Integration in Stock Markets of Transition Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 2346, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Ammer, John & Mei, Jianping, 1996. " Measuring International Economic Linkages with Stock Market Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1743-63, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Lorenzo Cappiello & Bruno Gérard & Simone Manganelli, 2005. "Measuring comovements by regression quantiles," Working Paper Series 501, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Babecký, Jan & Komárek, Luboš & Komárková, Zlatuše, 2008. "Financial Integration of Stock Markets among New EU Member States and the Euro Area," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 849, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Martin Cihák & Wim Fonteyne, 2009. "Five Years After: European Union Membership and Macro-Financial Stability in the New Member States," IMF Working Papers 09/68, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  3. Burcu Erdogan, 2009. "How Does European Integration Affect the European Stock Markets?," Working Paper / FINESS 1.1a, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  4. Tigran Poghosyan, 2009. "Are “new” and “old” EU members becoming more financially integrated? A threshold cointegration analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 259-281, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Elias Papaioannou, 2007. "Finance and growth - a macroeconomic assessment of the evidence from a European angle," Working Paper Series 787, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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