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Which news moves the euro area bond market? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Magnus Andersson () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. )
Lars Jul Hansen () (Danmarks Nationalbank, Havnegade 5, 1093 Copenhagen, Denmark )
Szabolcs Sebestyén () (Department of Fundamentos del Análisis Económico, University of Alicante, 03080 San Vicente del Raspeig, Spain. )
This paper explores a long dataset (1999-2005) of intraday prices on German long-term bond futures and examines market responses to major macroeconomic announcements and ECB monetary policy releases. In general, adjustments in prices are quick and new information is usually incorporated into prices within five minutes of announcements. The volatility adjustment is more long-lasting than that in the conditional mean, and excess volatility can be observed up to 30 minutes after the releases. Overall, German bond markets tend to react more strongly to the surprise component in US macro releases compared to euro area and domestic releases, and the strength of those reactions to US releases has increased over the period considered. The paper also provides evidence that the outcome of German unemployment figures has been known to investors ahead of the prescheduled release. JEL Classification: E43; E44; E58.
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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number
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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: May 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20060631Contact details of provider: Postal: Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany Phone: +49 69 1344 0 Fax: +49 69 1344 6000 Web page: http://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Monetary policy ; intraday data ; macroeconomic announcements. ; Other versions of this item:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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