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Trends and cycles in the euro area: how much heterogeneity and should we worry about it?

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Author Info
Domenico Giannone () (European Centre for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES) Université Libre de Bruxelles, CP 114, Av. F.D. Roosevelt, 50. B-1050 Brussels, Belgium.)
Lucrezia Reichlin () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, Postfach 16 03 19, 60066 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)

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Abstract

Not so much and we should not, at least not yet. JEL Classification: E32; C33; C53; F2; F43.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 595.

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Length: 46 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20060595

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Related research
Keywords: International business cycles; Euro area; risk sharing; European integration; income insurance.;

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  1. Philippe Michel & Leopold von Thadden & Jean-Pierre Vidal, 2006. "Debt stabilizing fiscal rules," Working Paper Series 576, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2004. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," CEPR Discussion Papers 4610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ana Lamo & Julián Messina & Etienne Wasmer, 2006. "Are specific skills an obstacle to labor market adjustment? Theory and an application to the EU enlargement," Working Paper Series 585, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  5. M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Charles H. Whiteman, 2003. "International Business Cycles: World, Region, and Country-Specific Factors," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(4), pages 1216-1239, September. [Downloadable!]
  6. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2005. "Understanding Changes In International Business Cycle Dynamics," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(5), pages 968-1006, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Maurice Obstfeld, 1994. "Are Industrial-Country Consumption Risks Globally Diversified?," NBER Working Papers 4308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem & Sorensen, Bent E & Yosha, Oved, 2004. "Asymmetric Shocks and Risk Sharing in a Monetary Union: Updated Evidence and Policy Implications for Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 4463, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. P J Perez & D R Osborn & M Artis, 2003. "The International Business Cycle in a Changing World: Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 37, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli & Eva Ortega, 2004. "Similarities and convergence in G-7 cycles," Banco de España Working Papers 0404, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Robert J. Tetlow & Peter von zur Muehlen, 2005. "Robustifying learnability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-58, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  12. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2002. "Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 365-381, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Michael Ehrmann, 2006. "Rational inattention, inflation developments and perceptions after the euro cash changeover," Working Paper Series 588, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  14. Sorensen, Bent E. & Yosha, Oved, 1998. "International risk sharing and European monetary unification," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 211-238, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Monfort, Alain & Renne, Jean-Paul & Rüffer, Rasmus & Vitale, Giovanni, 2003. "Is Economic Activity in the G7 Synchronized? Common Shocks versus Spillover Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 4119, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Alessandro Calza & Andrea Zaghini, 2006. "Non-linear dynamics in the euro area demand for M1," Working Paper Series 592, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  17. Anindya Banerjee & Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, 2006. "Cointegration in Panel Data with Breaks and Cross-Section Dependence," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/5, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
  18. Florin O. Bilbiie & André Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2008. "What Accounts for the Changes in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1439-1470, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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