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Household debt sustainability: what explains household non-performing loans? An empirical analysis

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  • Rinaldi, Laura
  • Sanchis-Arellano, Alicia
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    Abstract

    Sound household financial conditions are relevant for both financial and monetary stability. Therefore, we analyse household financial fragility in a sample of euro area countries with the aim to shed some light on the nature of the large debt increase accumulated in recent years. We focus on household arrears on payment obligations, which are one of the most direct measures of financial stress of the sector. The probability of falling into arrears is derived from a life-cycle type of model and is investigated empirically using a cross-section and time series approach. We analyse cointegration and model arrears within an errorcorrection framework. The results suggest that the financial conditions of households might become more vulnerable to adverse shocks in their income and wealth. JEL Classification: C23, G21, D14

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 0570.

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    Date of creation: Jan 2006
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    Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20060570

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    Related research

    Keywords: default; household debt sustainability; non-performing loans; Panel Cointegration;

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    Cited by:
    1. Rodrigo Lara Pinto & Gilneu Francisco Astolfi Vivan, 2013. "Converting the NPL Ratio into a Comparable Long Term Metric," Working Papers Series 309, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Eftychia Nikolaidou & Sofoklis Vogiazas, 2014. "Credit Risk Determinants for the Bulgarian Banking System," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 87-102, February.
    3. Vasiliki Makri & Konstantinos Papadatos, 2014. "How accounting information and macroeconomic environment determine credit risk? Evidence from Greece," International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research (IJESAR), Technological Educational Institute (TEI) of Kavala, Greece, vol. 7(1), pages 129-143, April.

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