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Intra- and extra-euro area import demand for manufactures

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Author Info
Robert Anderton () (European Central Bank and Special Professor at School of Economics, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham NG7 2RD, United Kingdom.)
Badi H. Baltagi () (Department of Economics, Center for Policy Research, 426 Eggers Hall, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, 13244-1020, USA..)
Frauke Skudelny () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Nuno Sousa (European Commission.)

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to improve our understanding of the key determinants of intra- and extra-euro area imports. Using a simultaneous equation estimation framework, and pooling the data across nine euro area countries as an approximation of the euro area, we estimate intra- and extra-euro area import demand functions and impose various restrictions within and across equations. We find that there are significant substitution effects between intra- and extra-euro area imports due to changes in their relative prices, while exchange rate volatility decreases trade vis-à-vis regions characterised by volatility and leads to substitution of trade away from higher-volatility regions towards lower-volatility regions.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 532.

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Length: 34 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20050532

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Related research
Keywords: Intra- and extra-euro area imports; substitution; trade integration; three stage least squares.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Andrew K. Rose, 2000. "One money, one market: the effect of common currencies on trade," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 7-46, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kinal, T & Lahiri, K, 1993. "On the Estimation of Simultaneous-Equations Error-Components Models with an Application to a Model of Developing Country Foreign Trade," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 81-92, Jan.-Marc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Hartmann, Philipp, 1998. "The Currency Denomination of World Trade after European Monetary Union," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 424-454, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kenen, Peter B & Rodrik, Dani, 1986. "Measuring and Analyzing the Effects of Short-term Volatility in Real Exchange Rates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(2), pages 311-15, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Phillips, Peter C B & Xiao, Zhijie, 1998. " A Primer on Unit Root Testing," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(5), pages 423-69, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Hooper, Peter & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1978. "The effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the prices and volume of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 483-511, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Richard Baldwin & Daria Taglioni, 2006. "Gravity for Dummies and Dummies for Gravity Equations," NBER Working Papers 12516, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Paul De Grauwe & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2005. "Endogeneities of optimum currency areas - what brings countries sharing a single currency closer together?," Working Paper Series 468, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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