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Unions, wage setting and monetary policy uncertainty

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Author Info
Hans Peter Grüner () (University of Mannheim, IZA, Bonn, and CEPR, London. Postal Address: University of Mannheim, Department of Economics, L7, 3-5, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany)
Bernd Hayo () (Philipps-University Marburg and ZEI, University of Bonn; Postal Address: Philipps-University Marburg, Department of Economics, (FB02), Universitaetsstr. 24, D-35032 Marburg, Germany)
Carsten Hefeker () (University of Siegen,HWWA, Hamburg, and CESifo, Munich; Postal Address:HWWA Institute of International Economics, Neuer Jungfernstieg 21, 20347 Hamburg, Germany)

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Abstract

Recent theoretical research has studied extensively the link between wage setting and monetary policymaking in unionized economies. This paper addresses the question of the role of monetary uncertainty from both an empirical and theoretical point of view. Our analysis is based on a simple model that derives the influence of monetary uncertainty on unionized wage setting. We construct an indicator of monetary policy uncertainty and test our model with data for the G5 countries. The central finding is that monetary policy uncertainty has a negative impact on nominal wage growth in countries where wage setting is relatively centralized. This result is consistent with recent theoretical approaches to central bank transparency and wage setting.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 490.

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Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20050490

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy uncertainty; centralized wage setting; union behavior.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Elizaveta Krylova & Jussi Nikkinen & Sami Vähämaa, 2005. "Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options," Working Paper Series 530, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Daniel Laskar, 2008. "Monetary policy uncertainty and macroeconomic performance: An extended non-bayesian framework," PSE Working Papers 2008-01, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
  3. Gabrielle Demange, 2008. "Sharing aggregate risks under moral hazard," PSE Working Papers 2008-27, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
  4. Luis J. Álvarez & Pablo Burriel & Ignacio Hernando, 2005. "Price setting behaviour in Spain: evidence from micro PPI data," Working Paper Series 522, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Andrzej Rzonca & Piotr Cizkowicz, 2005. "Non-Keynesian effects of fiscal contraction in new member states," Working Paper Series 519, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  6. Katrin Tinn, 2005. "Optimal research in financial markets with heterogeneous private information a rational expectations model," Working Paper Series 493, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Guido Wolswijk, 2005. "On some fiscal effects on mortgage debt growth in the EU," Working Paper Series 526, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  8. Matthias Mohr, 2005. "A Trend-Cycle(-Season) Filter," Econometrics 0508004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Timo Henckel, 2006. "Monopolistic Unions, Brainard Uncertainty, And Optimal Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2006-16, Australian National University, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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