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Socio-economic development and fiscal policy - lessons from the cohesion countries for the new member states

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Author Info
Aaron N. Mehrotra () (Department of Economics, European University Institute, Via della Piazzuola 43, I-50133, Florence, Italy)
Tuomas A. Peltonen () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

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Abstract

This paper examines the link between socio-economic development and fiscal policy. We introduce an indicator for socio-economic development (SEDI) and investigate its relationship with different fiscal variables, using data for the cohesion countries, namely Greece, Portugal, Spain and Ireland for 1980-1999. We find that an improvement in the net lending position of the government, as well as a fall in the level of public debt, would be beneficial for socio-economic development in the medium term. Furthermore, fiscal consolidation is found to be more relevant for promoting socio-economic development in the cohesion countries than in the other EU-15 Member States. Our results provide support for incentives to curb spending, such as the fiscal criteria of the Maastricht Treaty or the Stability and Growth Pact.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 467.

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Length: 47 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20050467

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Related research
Keywords: Socio-economic development; fiscal consolidation; EU enlargement; Stability and Growth Pact.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt
H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
I0 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - General

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  4. António Afonso & Ludger Schuknecht & Vito Tanzi, 2005. "Public sector efficiency: An international comparison," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 321-347, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Andrzej Rzońca & Piotr Ciżkowicz, 2003. "A comment on "The relationship between policies and growth in transition countries"," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(4), pages 743-748, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Giavazzi, Francesco & Jappelli, Tullio & Pagano, Marco, 2000. "Searching for non-linear effects of fiscal policy: Evidence from industrial and developing countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1259-1289, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Maddala, G S & Wu, Shaowen, 1999. " A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(0), pages 631-52, Special I. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Roberto Perotti, 1999. "Fiscal Policy In Good Times And Bad," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 114(4), pages 1399-1436, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Alesina, A. & Perotti, R., 1995. "Fiscal Expansions and Adjustments in OECD Countries," Discussion Papers 1995_25, Columbia University, Department of Economics.
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