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Welfare implications of joining a common currency

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Author Info
Michele Ca’ Zorzi () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Roberto A. De Santis () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Fabrizio Zampolli

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Abstract

This paper examines the welfare implications of a country joining a currency union as opposed to operating in a flexible exchange rate regime. At the country level, the suboptimal response to domestic and foreign shocks and the inability of setting inflation at the desired level may be offset by a positive impact on potential output. We show that for entry to be welfare enhancing, the potential output gain must be the larger, the smaller the country, the larger the difference between the standard deviation of supply shocks across the participating countries, the smaller the correlation of countries’ supply shocks and the larger the variance of real exchange rate shocks.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 445.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20050445

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Related research
Keywords: Balassa-Samuelson Effect; Currency Union; Monetary Policy; Welfare.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Russell Cooper & Hubert Kempf, 2000. "Designing Stabilization Policy in a Monetary Union," Boston University - Institute for Economic Development 99, Boston University, Institute for Economic Development. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Bondonio, Daniele, 2002. "Evaluating the Employment Impact of Business Incentive Programs in EU Disadvantaged Areas. A case from Northern Italy," P.O.L.I.S. department's Working Papers 27, Department of Public Policy and Public Choice - POLIS. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gianluca Benigno & Christoph Thoenissen, 2003. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates and Supply-Side Performance," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(486), pages C103-C124, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Ca' Zorzi, Michele & De Santis, Roberto A., 2004. "Currency unions and the real exchange rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 23-27, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. repec:rus:hseeco:123846 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Benigno, Pierpaolo, 2004. "Optimal monetary policy in a currency area," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 293-320, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Cukierman, Alex & Lippi, Francesco, 2001. "Labour Markets and Monetary Union: A Strategic Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 111(473), pages 541-65, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Bas Aarle & Harry Garretsen & Cindy Moons, 2008. "Accession to the euro-area: a stylized analysis using a NK model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 5-24, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Alexandra Ferreira-Lopes, 2008. "The Welfare Cost of the EMU for Transition Countries," Working Papers ercwp0308, ISCTE, UNIDE, Economics Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  3. Van Aarle B. & Garretsen H. & Moons C., 2007. "Accession to the Euro-Area: A Stylized Analysis Using a NK Model," Working Papers 2007015, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Alexandra Ferreira Lopes, 2007. "The Costs of EMU for Transition Countries," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 2, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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