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Monetary policy and the stock market in the Euro area

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Author Info
Nuno Cassola () (European Central Bank (ECB), Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Claudio Morana () (University of Piemonte Orientale, Via Perrone 18, 28100 Novara, Italy.)
Abstract

In this paper we study the role of the stock market in the transmission mechanism in the euro area and evaluate whether price stability and financial stability are mutually consistent and complementary objectives. Four major conclusions can be drawn from our work. First, stock prices and, more generally, relative asset prices seem to play an important role in the transmission mechanism in the euro area. Second, we do not find any significant, direct impact of stock prices on inflation. Third, permanent productivity shocks are the driving force of the stock market in the long-run and contribute significantly to its cyclical behaviour. Nevertheless, the bulk of cyclical dynamics in the stock market is explained by transitory shocks. Fourth, a monetary policy focused on maintaining price stability in the long-run can contribute also to stock market stability. JEL Classification: C32; O11.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 119.

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Length: 85 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20020119

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Keywords: Monetary policy transmission mechanism; price stability; financial stability.;

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Roberto A. De Santis & Carlo A. Favero & Barbara Roffia, 2008. "Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation - a contribution to assessing risks to price stability," Working Paper Series 926, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Kai Carstensen, 2003. "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers 1179, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
  3. Céline Gauthier & Fu Chun Li, 2006. "Linking Real Activity and Financial Markets: The Bonds, Equity, and Money (BEAM) Model," Working Papers 06-42, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  4. Robert-Paul Berben, 2003. "Does stock market uncertainty impair the use of monetary indicators in the euro area?," MEB Series (discontinued) 2003-15, Netherlands Central Bank, Monetary and Economic Policy Department.
  5. Zenon Kontolemis G., 2002. "Money Demand in the Euro Area: Where Do We Stand (Today)?," IMF Working Papers 02/185, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  6. Annick Bruggeman & Marie Donnay, 2003. "A monthly monetary model with banking intermediation for the euro area," Working Paper Series 264, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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