Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?

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Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?

Author Info

Frank Smets () (European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, Postfach 16 03 19, 60066 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.)
Gert Peersman () (Ghent University - Department of Financial Economics, W. Wilsonplein 5D, Ghent 9000, Belgium.)

Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

Frank Rafael Smets

Abstract

This paper investigates whether monetary policy impulses have asymmetric effects on output growth in seven countries of the euro area (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Austria, Belgium and the Netherlands). First, it is shown that these seven countries share the same business cycle. Next, strong evidence is presented that area-wide monetary policy impulses, measured as the contribution of monetary policy shocks to the short-term interest rate in a simple VAR for the euro area economy, have significantly larger effects on output growth in recessions than in booms. These differences are most pronounced in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and Belgium while they are much smaller in Austria and the Netherlands. JEL Classification: E4; E5.

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 052.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2001
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20010052

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References listed on IDEAS
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Other versions:
- Garcia, R. & Schaller, H., 1995. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Asymmetric?," Cahiers de recherche 9505, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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Other versions:
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Other versions:
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Other versions:
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Full references

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

A. Olmedo, 2002. "Asymmetries in the Central Bank Behaviour," THEMA Working Papers 2002-06, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
Bartosz Mackowiak, 2005. "How much of the Macroeconomic Variation in Eastern Europe is Attributable to External Shocks?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-061, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2006. "How Much of the Macroeconomic Variation in Eastern Europe is Attributable to External Shocks?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 523-544, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2006. "(S,s) Pricing: Does the Heterogeneity Wipe Out the Asymmetry on Micro Level?," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 033, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
W.A. Bruinshoofd & B. Candelon, 2004. "Nonlinear monetary policy in europe: fact or myth?," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 758, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Bruinshoofd, Allard & Candelon, Bertrand, 2005. "Nonlinear monetary policy in Europe: fact or myth?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 399-403, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Paolo Surico, 2003. "How does the ECB target inflation?," Macroeconomics 0305005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Paolo Surico, 2003. "How does the ECB target inflation?," Working Paper Series 229, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Baele, L., 2003. "Volatility spillover effects in European equity markets," Discussion Paper 114, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- L. Baele, 2003. "Volatility Spillover Effects in European Equity Markets," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 03/189, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
Baele, Lieven, 2003. "Volatility Spillover Effects in European Equity Markets: Evidence from a Regime Switching Model," EIFC - Technology and Finance Working Papers 33, United Nations University, Institute for New Technologies. [Downloadable!]
Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006. "Comovements and heterogeneity in the Comovements and heterogeneity in the dynamic factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,31, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
Luc Aucremanne & Guy Brys & Mia Hubert & Peter J. Rousseeuw & Anja Struyf, 2002. "Inflation, relative prices and nominal rigidities," Research series 200205-1, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
Gert Peersam & Frank Smets, 2002. "The industry effects of monetary policy in the Euro area," Working Paper Series 165, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 2005. "The Industry Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(503), pages 319-342, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Eickmeier, Sandra & Breitung, Jörg, 2005. "How synchronized are central and east European economies with the euro area? : Evidence from a structural factor model," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,20, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
Eickmeier, Sandra, 2004. "Business Cycle Transmission from the US to Germany : a Structural Factor Approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,12, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Eickmeier, Sandra, 2007. "Business cycle transmission from the US to Germany--A structural factor approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 521-551, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Sandra Eickmeier & Joerg Breitung, 2006. "Business cycle transmission from the euro area to CEECs," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 229, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]

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