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On the Sources of Euro Area Money Demand Stability. A Time-Varying Cointegration Analysis

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  • Matteo Barigozzi
  • Antonio Conti

Abstract

We adopt a time-varying cointegration test to discriminate among different empirical studies claiming to find a stable Euro Area money demand equation. A time invariant relation explaining real balances is rejected by data, even when accounting for housing, financial and labour markets. Conversely, an international portfolio allocation approach provides stabilization. In particular, international financial markets, rather than monetary policy, are the key determinant of the observed diverging path of money growth. In terms of policy, we provide empirical support for a New Two Pillars Strategy aimed to achieve financial stability through money and credit and price stability through interest rates.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles in its series Working Papers ECARES with number ECARES 2010-022.

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Length: 35 p.
Date of creation: 2010
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Publication status: Published by:
Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/57649

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Related research

Keywords: Euro Area Money Demand; Time-Varying Vector Error Correction Model; International Portfolio Allocation; Financial Stability;

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Cited by:
  1. Roberto A. De Santis & Carlo A. Favero & Barbara Roffia, 2012. "Euro Area Money Demand and International Portfolio Allocation: A Contribution to Assessing Risks to Price Stability," Working Papers 432, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.

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