Se-Jik Kim (Korea Institute for International Economic Policy)
Abstract
This paper develops a model of business groups in emerging markets where banks do not have sufficient capability to accurately distinguish between good (or high productivity) and bad (or low productivity) borrower firms. However, the bank can observe whether each firm repays on the repayment day, infer the probability of bad firms among the defaulted, and use liquidation as a screening device to select its good firms. For stand-alone firms, the bank may find it optimal to liquidate all the defaulted, given that the chance of bad firms among the defaulted is large. In contrast, for business conglomerates, the optimal policy can be a full bailout since conglomeration, through cross debt payment guarantees, hinders the bank from obtaining information on the productivity of individual firms that is needed to sort out the firms to be liquidated. Expectation of such a bailout policy may encourage risk-averse firms to form a conglomerate to serve as an information-diluting that helps eliminate the risk of liquidation.
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by East Asian Bureau of Economic Research in its series Finance Working Papers with number
300.
Length: 83 pages Date of creation: Nov 2002 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:eab:financ:300
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Find related papers by JEL classification: G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation H74 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Borrowing G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
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