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The Pattern of Growth in Indonesia after the Economic Crisis 1997/1998 : Does the Primary Sector Still Need to Support Economic Growth?

Author

Listed:
  • Fajar Bambang Hirawan

    (CSIS)

  • Sergio Cesaratto

Abstract

This paper aims to examine the pattern of growth in Indonesia, especially after the economic crisis 1997/1998. Indonesia suffered a catastrophic economic crisis from the year 1997 until 1999 and the economy improved from the year 2000 even though it was still dependant on the non-economic fundamental factor. This paper represents the progress of each of the main sectors in the economy, such as primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors, from the year 2001 until 2007, particularly focusing on its role to support economic growth. The primary sector, which consists mostly of agriculture and mining, is always excluded by policy makers because of its decreasing contribution to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The interesting phenomenon that we can learn from this paper is the two-way correlation, which happens between primary sector growth and GDP growth, it also happens to the secondary sector. On the other hand, tertiary sector growth has only one-way correlation with GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Fajar Bambang Hirawan & Sergio Cesaratto, 2008. "The Pattern of Growth in Indonesia after the Economic Crisis 1997/1998 : Does the Primary Sector Still Need to Support Economic Growth?," Development Economics Working Papers 22895, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:eab:develo:22895
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Primary Sector; Secondary Sector; Tertiary Sector; economic growth; Correlation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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