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The Evolution of Poverty during the Crisis in Indonesia

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Author Info
Asep Suryahadi (SMERU Research Institute)
Sudarno Sumarto (SMERU Research Institute)
Lant Pritchett (Kennedy School of Government, Havard University)

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Abstract

The economic crisis caused a clear deterioration in the welfare of the Indonesian people. In this paper, we examine the appropriate method to compare the change in poverty rates over time. We then piece together a consistent series of estimates of poverty rates during the crisis from various sources, covering a period from February 1996 to February 2002. The reconciliation of these various estimates paints a very reasonable picture and neatly tracks events. The poverty rate increased from the lowest point of around 15 percent at the onset of the crisis in the mid of 1997 to the highest point of around 33 percent nearing the end of 1998. This maximum increase in poverty rate during the crisis of 18 percentage points implies that around 36 million additional people were pushed into absolute poverty due to the crisis. After the peak point, the poverty rate started to decline again and reached the pre-crisis level of around 15 percents at the end of 1999, implying the lost time in poverty reduction due to the crisis was around two and a half years. However, the poverty rate after this point appears to have fluctuated. During 2001 until early 2002, poverty was on the rise again.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by East Asian Bureau of Economic Research in its series Development Economics Working Papers with number 115.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:eab:develo:115

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Related research
Keywords: poverty; Indonesia; poverty rate; poverty measurement;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - General Welfare
I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
D60 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - General
O18 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Regional, Urban, and Rural Analyses

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Skoufias, E & Suryahadi, A, 2002. "A Cohort Analysis of Wages in Indonesia," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 34(13), pages 1703-10, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Pradhan, Menno, et al, 2001. "Eating Like Which "Joneses?" An Iterative Solution to the Choice of a Poverty Line "Reference Group."," Review of Income and Wealth, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(4), pages 473-87, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Hadi Soesastro & M. Basri, 1998. "Survey of Recent Developments," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 3-54, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Jessica Poppele & Sudarno Sumarto & Lant Pritchett, 1998. "Social Impacts of the Indonesian Crisis - New Data and Policy Implications," Development Economics Working Papers 81, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Emmanuel Skoufias & Asep Suryahadi, 2000. "Changes in Household Welfare, Poverty and Inequality During the Crisis," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 97-114, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Paul R. Deuster, 2002. "Survey Of Recent Developments," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 5-37, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Frankenberg, E. & Thomas, D. & Beegle, K., 1999. "The Real Costs of Indonesia's Economic Crisis: Preliminary Findings from the Indonesia Family Life Surveys," Papers 99-04, RAND - Labor and Population Program.
    Other versions:
  8. Foster, James & Greer, Joel & Thorbecke, Erik, 1984. "A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 761-66, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Daniel Suryadarma & Rima Prama Artha & Asep Suryahadi & Sudarno Sumarto, 2005. "A Reassessment of Inequality and Its Role in Poverty Reduction in Indonesia," Development Economics Working Papers 525, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Skoufias, Emmanuel, 2002. "The sensitivity of calorie-income demand elasticity to price changes," FCND discussion papers 141, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  3. Menno Pradhan & Fadia Saadah & Robert Sparrow, 2003. "Did the Healthcard Program ensure Access to Medical Care for the Poor during Indonesia's Economic Crisis?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-016/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Somanathan, Aparnaa, 2008. "The impact of price subsidies on child health care use : evaluation of the Indonesian healthcard," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4622, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jesse Darja & Daniel Suryadarma & Asep Suryahadi & Sudarno Sumarto, 2004. "The State of Village-Level Infrastructures and Public Services in Indonesia During the Economic Crisis," Development Economics Working Papers 524, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  6. Honohan, Patrick, 2005. "Banking sector crises and inequality," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3659, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Sudarno Sumarto & Asep Suryahadi & Alex Arifianto, 2004. "Governance and Poverty Reduction: Evidence from Newly Decentralized Indonesia," Governance Working Papers 109, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  8. Steven A. Block & Lynnda Keiss & Patrick Webb & S. Kosen & Regina Moench-Pfanner & Martin W. Bloem & C. Peter Timmer, 2002. "Did Indonesia's Cries of 1997/98 Affect Child Nutrition? A Cohort Decomposition Analysis of National Nutrition Surveillance Data," Working Papers in Food Policy and Nutrition 05, Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy. [Downloadable!]
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