Este trabalho tem como objectivo a realização de uma analise da economia brasileira, em 1960-2000, numa perspectiva sectorial. Os modelos econometricos e o teste de causalidade de Hausman mostram que o incremento da produção manufactureira e necessario para lograr um desenvolvimento sustentado da produção não manufactureira, e analisamos se a relação bilateral e contemporânea, sendo a relação, fundamentalmente, unilateral contemporanea e bilateral não contemporânea. Os modelos mostram que o comercio externo e importante para a complementaridade existente entre os produtos importados e a produção propria. As importações têm um efeito medio muito positivo na produção propria, e portanto, e preciso incrementar a capacidade exportadora e importadora do Brasil para incrementar a capacidade produtiva.
This article analyses the Brazilian economy during the period 1960-2000 from a sectoral perspective.Our econometric models, and the Hausman test of causality, show that the increase in manufacturing is important to get a sustained and high rate of growth of non manufacturing sectors, and we analyse if the relationship is bilateral and contemproaneuous. We find evidence in favour of a bilateral relation which is only unilateraly contemporaneous. We also analyse the relationship between industrial development and foreign trade, and the conclusions show that it is important for Brazil to increase both imports and exports in order to favour the growth of the Brazilian production.
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Paper provided by University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics. in its series Economic Development with number
73.
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