This paper uses a unique individual level administrative data set to analyse the participation of health professionals in the NHS after training. The data set contains information on over 1,000 dentists who received Dental Vocational Training in Scotland between 1995 and 2006. Using a dynamic nonlinear panel data model, we estimate the determinants of post-training participation. We ?nd there is signi?cant persistence in these data and are able to show that the persistence arises from state dependence and individual heterogeneity. This ?nding has implications for the structure of policies designed to increase participation rates. We apply this empirical framework to assess the accuracy of predictions for workforce forecasting, and to provide a preliminary estimate of the impact of one of the recruitment and retention policies available to dentists in Scotland.
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Paper provided by University of Dundee, Economic Studies in its series Discussion Papers with number
218.
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