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On the Benefits of Dollarization when Stabilization Policy Is Not Credible and Financial Markets are Imperfect

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Author Info
Mendoza, Enrique G.

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Abstract

This paper argues that dollarization can be beneficial for countries where credit-market frictions and non-credible stabilization policies are large distortions on economic activity and welfare. A dynamic general-equilibrium model with these features is proposed for the case of a small open economy with a non-credible managed exchange-rate regime and a liquidity requirement that acts as an endogenous borrowing constraint. Assessing the experience of Mexico in the light of the quantitative predictions of this model suggests that, unless mechanisms to secure potential benefits of discretionary monetary policy can be implemented, dollarization is worth pursuing. The mean welfare gain of neutralizing both credibility distortions and credit frictions exceeds 9 percent in terms of the trend level of consumption per capita.

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Paper provided by Duke University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 00-01.

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Date of creation: 2000
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Handle: RePEc:duk:dukeec:00-01

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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  1. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk, 2006. "The Role of Distribution of the Income Shares of Individuals in Tradables and Nontradables on Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Delay of Stabilizations," MPRA Paper 5485, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Araújo, Aloísio Pessoa de & Leon, Márcia Saraiva, 2002. "Speculative Attacks on Debts, Dollarization and Optimum Currency Areas," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 446, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  3. Carlos Gustavo Machicado, 2006. "Welfare Gains from Optimal Policy in a Partially Dollarized Economy," Development Research Working Paper Series 10/2006, Institute for Advanced Development Studies. [Downloadable!]
  4. Roger Craine, 2001. "Dollarization: An Irreversible Decision," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series 1014, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
  5. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk, 2006. "Distributional Effects of Boom-Bust Cycles in Developing Countries with Financial Frictions," MPRA Paper 5484, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Roger Craine, 2001. "Dollarization: An Irreversible Decision," International Finance 0103003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  7. Michael Kumhof, 2001. "A Critical View of Inflation Targeting: Crises, Limited Sustainability, and Aggregate Shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 127, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2000. "On the Instability of Variance Decompositions of the Real Exchange Rate across Exchange-Rate-Regimes: Evidence from Mexico and the United States," NBER Working Papers 7768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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