Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Les cycles de souscription de l’assurance non vie en France


Author Info

  • Catherine Bruneau
  • Nadia Sghaier


This paper provides an empirical analysis of the presence and determinants of the underwriting cycle in non-life insurance for France for the industry and for two individual lines which one long and one short for the period 1963-2004 and 1982-2004. First, the estimation of the AR(2) process of the rate of growth of premiums shows the presence of a cyclical behavior since 80 for the aggregate sector and for the automobile line. Second, we aim to determine their causes. For that, we consider the amount of claims and expenses, equities and returns on financial assets. We adopt a multivariate approach and we estimate an error correction vector model that allows the distinction between the e¤ects of short and long term. We provide evidence of causality between different variables and we end with an impulse analysis. The empirical results that we get are interpreted with reference to principal hypothesis made in the literature to explain the cycle and financial model of insurance pricing. These results show that the causes vary across lines and periods.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL:
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX in its series EconomiX Working Papers with number 2008-6.

as in new window
Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:drm:wpaper:2008-6

Contact details of provider:
Postal: 200 Avenue de la République, Bât. G - 92001 Nanterre Cedex
Web page:
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: Presence and determinants of the underwriting cycles; non life in-surance; error correction vectoriel model; causality; impulse analysis.;

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:


No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.


Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Heni Boubaker & Nadia Sghaier, 2014. "How Do the Interest Rate and the Inflation Rate Affect the Non-Life Insurance Premiums ?," Working Papers 2014-282, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  2. Catherine Bruneau & Nadia Sghaier, 2014. "Cyclicity in the French PropertyLiability Insurance Industry - New Findings over the Recent Period," Working Papers 2014-047, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.


This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.


Access and download statistics


When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:drm:wpaper:2008-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Valérie Mignon).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.