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The impact of oil price fluctuations on stock markets in developed and emerging economies

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  • Thai-Ha Le

    (Division of Economics, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore)

  • Youngho Chang

    (Division of Economics, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore)

Abstract

This study examines the response of stock markets to oil price volatilities in Japan, Singapore, Korea and Malaysia by applying the generalized impulse response and variance decomposition analyses to the monthly data spanning 1986:01 – 2011:02. The results suggest that the reaction of stock markets to oil price shocks varies significantly across markets. Specifically, the stock market responds positively in Japan while negatively in Malaysia; the signal in Singapore and South Korea is unclear. We find that the stock market inefficiency, among others, appeared to have slowed the responses of the stock market to aggregate shocks such as oil price surges.

Suggested Citation

  • Thai-Ha Le & Youngho Chang, 2011. "The impact of oil price fluctuations on stock markets in developed and emerging economies," Working Papers 23, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam.
    • Handle: RePEc:dpc:wpaper:2311
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    2. Dhanya Alex & Roshna Varghese, 2015. "An Empirical Investigation into the Relationship of Crude Oil Price, Exchange Rate and BSE Sensex," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 4(3), pages 149-157, September.
    3. GIRI A. K. & JOSHI Pooja, 2017. "The Impact Of Macroeconomic Indicators On Indian Stock Prices: An Empirical Analysis," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 61-78, April.
    4. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013. "Some thoughts on accurate characterization of stock market indexes trends in conditions of nonlinear capital flows during electronic trading at stock exchanges in global capital markets," MPRA Paper 49921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mohsin Ali & Wajahat Azmi & Aftab Parvez Khan, 2019. "Portfolio Diversification and Oil Price Shocks: A Sector Wide Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 251-260.
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    7. ALAM Nafis & TAN Ee Chain, 2012. "Impact Of Financial Crisis On Stock Returns: Evidence From Singapore," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 5-19, August.
    8. Godil, Danish Iqbal & Sarwat, Salman & Khan, Muhammad Kamran & Ashraf, Muhammad Sajjad & Sharif, Arshian & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2022. "How the price dynamics of energy resources and precious metals interact with conventional and Islamic Stocks: Fresh insight from dynamic ARDL approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    9. Ali, Mohsin & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Does Indian Stock Market Provide Diversification Benefits Against Oil Price Shocks? A Sectoral Analysis," MPRA Paper 58828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Naurin, Abida & Qayyum, Abdul, 2016. "Impact of Oil Price and Its Volatility on CPI of Pakistan: Bivariate EGARCH Model," MPRA Paper 69774, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Diana Burkaltseva & Shakizada Niyazbekova & Lyudmila Borsch & Mir Abdul Kayum Jallal & Nataliya Apatova & Ardak Nurpeisova & Alexander Semenov & Ayagoz Zhansagimova, 2021. "Methodological Foundations of the Risk of the Stock Markets of Developed and Developing Countries in the Conditions of the Crisis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil price fluctuation; stock return; exchange rate; emerging market; VAR model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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