What do we Understand about Exchange Rates
AbstractOne of the major puzzles of the economic profession is the pricing of exchange rates. Despite the development of numerous theories, the actual behaviour of exchange rates, especially in the short run, is not well understood. This article evaluates several popular exchange rate theories and presents new results of a model developed at de Nederlandsche Bank. This model gives a prominent role to growth differentials. An application to the eurodollar shows these can explain the depreciation of the euro only partly. Sentiment seems to be important as well.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department in its series WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) with number 684.
Date of creation: 2002
Date of revision:
purchasing power parity; uncovered interest parity; monetary models; equilibrium exchange rates;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2003-06-16 (All new papers)
- NEP-CFN-2003-06-16 (Corporate Finance)
- NEP-IFN-2003-07-21 (International Finance)
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