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The conquest of American Inflation' by Thomas J. Sargent: a review


Author Info

  • W. Bolt
  • M.C.J. van Rooij
  • A.F. Tieman


This report reviews Thomas J. Sargents essay 'The Conquest of American Inflation' (1999). Sargent searches for a model which can explain postwar US inflation and which may shed light on the dynamic forces which drive this pattern. Following Sargent, the conquest of US inflation is due to a subtle dynamic interaction of adaptive expectations, imperfect model forecasts and the monetary authorities' beliefs on the working of the economy. In this sense the Lucas Critique is ignored and Sargents advocates the vindication of econometric policy evaluation.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department in its series WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) with number 655.

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Date of creation: 2001
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dnb:wormem:655

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Related research

Keywords: US inflation; monetary policy; adaptive expectations; self-confirming equilibrium; escape route;


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