Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

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Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

Author Info

Y.Chen
K. Rogoff

Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

Kenneth S Rogoff

Abstract

This paper re-examines empirical exchange rate puzzles by focusing on three OECD economies (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) where primary commodities constitute a significant share of their exports. For Australia and New Zealand especially, we find that the U.S. dollar price of their commodity exports (generally exogenous to these small economies) - has a strong and stable influence on their floating real rates, with the quantitative magnitude of the effects consistent with predictions of standard theoretical models. However, after controlling for commodity price shocks, there is still a PPP puzzle in the residual. Nevertheless, the results here are relevant to many developing country commodity exporters, as they liberalize their capital markets and move towards floating exchange rates.

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Paper provided by Netherlands Central Bank in its series DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) with number 76.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dnb:staffs:76

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2003-10-12 (All new papers)
NEP-FIN-2003-10-12 (Finance)
NEP-IFN-2003-10-12 (International Finance)
NEP-RMG-2003-10-12 (Risk Management)

References listed on IDEAS
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Other versions:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

Hildegunn Ekroll Stokke, 2006. "Resource Boom, Productivity Growth and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics - A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of South Africa," Working Paper Series 7206, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Stokke, Hildegunn E., 2008. "Resource boom, productivity growth and real exchange rate dynamics -- A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 148-160, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Paul Cashin & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Ratna Sahay, 2003. "Commodity Currencies and the Real Exchange Rate," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 236, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Cashin, Paul & Cespedes, Luis F. & Sahay, Ratna, 2004. "Commodity currencies and the real exchange rate," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 239-268, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hali Edison & Paul Cashin & Hong Liang, 2006. "Foreign exchange intervention and the Australian dollar: has it mattered?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(2), pages 155-171. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Hali J. Edison & Paul Cashin & Hong Liang, 2003. "Foreign Exchange Intervention and the Australian Dollar: Has it Mattered?," IMF Working Papers 03/99, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
Celine Gauthier & David Tessier, 2002. "Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics: Canadian Evidence," Working Papers 02-31, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2009. "Emerging Floaters: Pass-Throughs and (Some) New Commodity Currencies," WEF Working Papers 0049, ESRC World Economy and Finance Research Programme, Birkbeck, University of London. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Kohlscheen, E, 2009. "Emerging Floaters : Pass-Throughs and (Some) New Commodity Currencies," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 905, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Rebecca Driver & Stephen Millard, 2004. "Exchange rates, commodities and the implications of volatility in a small open economy world," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 26, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
Nils Bjorksten & Anne-Marie Brook, 2002. "Exchange rate strategies for small open developed economies such as New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 65, March. [Downloadable!]
Debabrata Bagchi & Georgios E. Chortareas & Stephen M. Miller, 2003. "The Real Exchange Rate in Small Open Developed Economies: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis," Working papers 2003-27, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Debabrata Bagchi & Georgios E. Chortareas & Stephen M. Miller, 2004. "The Real Exchange Rate in Small, Open, Developed Economies: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 80(248), pages 76-88, 03. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Mariam Camarero & Javier Ordóñez & Cecilio Tamarit, 2002. "The Euro-Dollar exchange rate: Is it fundamental?," European Economy Group Working Papers 16, European Economy Group. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Camarero, Mariam & Ordonez, Javier & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2002. "The Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate: Is it Fundamental?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]

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