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Counterterrorism Effectiveness: The Impact on Life and Property Losses

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Author Info

  • Christos Kallandranis
  • Konstantinos Drakos
  • Nicholas Giannakopoulos

Abstract

In this Policy Briefing we look at authorities' relative counterterrorism effectiveness focusing on its behavior over time, its impact on preventing casualties and property losses. The study underlying this Policy Briefing used data on transnational terrorism from the ITERATE database (1973-2003) and discrete choice models, to evaluate relative counterterrorism effectiveness while controlling for a variety of terrorists' and authorities' effort attributes. It was found out that the probability of a terrorist incident being stopped by the authorities has increased in the period examined. Furthermore, a negative relationship between authorities' ability to stop an incident and the probabilities of casualties and damages is identified. However, the "ability to stop" exerts higher impact on the probability of property losses compared to casualties.

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File URL: http://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.404024.de/diw_eusecon_pb0019.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research in its series EUSECON Policy Briefing with number 19.

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Length: 4 p.
Date of creation: 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:diw:diwepb:diwepb19

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  1. Konstantinos Drakos & Nicholas Giannakopoulos, 2009. "An econometric analysis of counterterrorism effectiveness: the impact on life and property losses," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 135-151, April.
  2. Carlos Pestana Barros, 2003. "An intervention analysis of terrorism: The spanish eta case," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(6), pages 401-412.
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