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Dynamics in Aceh and North Sumatera after the Twin Disasters: An Investigation into the Relevance of the Locational Fundamental Theory

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Author Info

  • Aloysius Gunadi Brata

    (VU University Amsterdam, and Atma Jaya Yogyakarta University)

  • Henri L.F. de Groot

    (VU University Amsterdam, and Ecorys NEI, Rotterdam)

  • Piet Rietveld

    (VU University Amsterdam)

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    Abstract

    This paper analyzes the impact of the Indian Ocean Tsunami in 2004 and the Nias earthquake in 2005 on population dynamic across regions in Aceh and North Sumatera. We find no evidence that the disasters affected the regularity of size-distribution of the regions. The estimates of a population growth model yield clear evidence that the disasters had only a temporary impact. This study provides indicative evidence for the relevance of the locational fundamental theory and rejects the random growth explanation.

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    File URL: http://papers.tinbergen.nl/13115.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 13-115/VIII.

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    Date of creation: 15 Aug 2013
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20130115

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    Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl

    Related research

    Keywords: natural disaster; population growth; rank-size distribution;

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    9. Robert J. Barro, 2007. "Rare Disasters, Asset Prices, and Welfare Costs," NBER Working Papers 13690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Krugman, Paul, 1996. "Confronting the Mystery of Urban Hierarchy," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 399-418, December.
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    13. Barro, Robert, 2006. "Rare Disasters and Asset Markets in the Twentieth Century," Scholarly Articles 3208215, Harvard University Department of Economics.
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