On the Phase Dependence in Time-Varying Correlations Between Time-Series
AbstractThis paper proposes the use of a double correlation coefficient as a nonpara- metric measure of phase-dependence in time-varying correlations. An asymp- totically Gaussian test statistic for the null hypothesis of no phase-dependence is derived from the proposed measure. Finite-sample distributions, power and size are analyzed in a Monte-Carlo exercise. An application of this test provides evidence that correlation strength between major macroeconomic aggregates is both time-varying and phase dependent in the business cycle.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 13-054/III.
Date of creation: 04 Apr 2013
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nonparametric; phase-dependence; time-varying correlation;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2013-04-13 (All new papers)
- NEP-ECM-2013-04-13 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2013-04-13 (Econometric Time Series)
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