Dynamic Correlation or Tail Dependence Hedging for Portfolio Selection
AbstractWe solve for the optimal portfolio allocation in a setting where both conditional correlation and theclustering of extreme events are considered. We demonstrate that there is a substantial welfare loss indisregarding tail dependence, even when dynamic conditional correlation has been accounted for, andvice versa. Both effects have distinct portfolio implications and cannot substitute each other. We alsoisolate the hedging demands due to macroeconomic and market conditions that command importanteconomic gains. Our results are robust to the sample period, the choice of the dependence structure,and both varying levels of average correlation and tail dependence coefficients.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 11-028/2/DSF10.
Date of creation: 11 Feb 2011
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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl
correlation hedging; dynamic portfolio allocation; Monte Carlo simulation; tail dependence;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
- C16 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Econometric and Statistical Methods; Specific Distributions
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
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