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A Rank Dependent Scheduling Model

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  • Paul R. Koster

    (VU University Amsterdam)

  • Erik T. Verhoef

    (VU University Amsterdam)

Abstract

This paper proposes an analytical framework for scheduling decisions of road travelers that takes into account probability weighting using rank dependent utility theory. The fundamental difference with the standard scheduling model based on expected utility is that the probabilities of arrivals are treated in a non-linear way. This paper shows how scheduling decisions are affected by the weighted probabilities of the traveler. We derive the costs of non-optimal chosen departure times because of probability weighting and show that if the parameterized probability weighting function issimilar to what has been found for gambling, the costs of probability weighting for morningpeak car travelers are around 3 per cent. For the full range of parameters tested, we find costs inthe range of 0-24 percent of total travel costs.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 10-069/3.

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Date of creation: 16 Jul 2010
Date of revision: 26 Aug 2010
Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20100069

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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl

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Keywords: scheduling model; value of reliability; rank dependent utility;

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References

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  1. Gijs Kuilen, 2009. "Subjective Probability Weighting and the Discovered Preference Hypothesis," Theory and Decision, Springer, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 1-22, July.
  2. De Borger, Bruno & Fosgerau, Mogens, 2008. "The trade-off between money and travel time: A test of the theory of reference-dependent preferences," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 101-115, July.
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Cited by:
  1. Koster, Paul & Kroes, Eric & Verhoef, Erik, 2011. "Travel time variability and airport accessibility," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1545-1559.
  2. Wang, Qian & Sundberg, Marcus & Karlström, Anders, 2013. "Scheduling choices under rank dependent utility maximization," Working papers in Transport Economics, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI) 2013:16, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  3. Jorge Valido & M. Pilar Socorro & Francesca Medda, 2013. "DYPES: Vertical differentiation, schedule delay and entry deterrence: Low cost vs. full service airlines," Working Papers 2013-05, FEDEA.
  4. repec:dgr:uvatin:2013056 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Xiao, Yu & Fukuda, Daisuke, 2013. "On the cost of misperceived travel time variability," MPRA Paper 49737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Paul Koster & Hans Koster, 2013. "Analysing Heterogeneity in the Value of Travel Time and Reliability: A Semiparametric Estimation Approach," ERSA conference papers ersa13p1032, European Regional Science Association.

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