P.D. Koellinger () (Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam) A.R. Thurik () (Erasmus School of Economics, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam)
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We study the cyclical pattern of entrepreneurial activity. Results across 22 OECD countries for the period 1972-2007 show that entrepreneurial activity is a leading indicator of the business cycle in a Granger-causality sense. This contradicts existing theoretical hypotheses which predict that entrepreneurship is pro-cyclical or not cyclical. We discuss possible causes and implications of this finding.
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