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Geographical Distribution of Unemployment: An Analysis of Provincial Differences in Italy

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Author Info
Maria Francesca Cracolici () (University of Palermo)
Miranda Cuffaro () (University of Palermo)
Peter Nijkamp () (VU University, Amsterdam)

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Abstract

Unemployment rates appear to vary widely at a subregional (e.g., local or provincial) level. Using spatial econometric models for spatial autocorrelation, this paper focuses attention on the spatial structure of regional unemployment disparities of Italian provinces. On the basis of findings from the economic literature and of the available socio-economic data, various model specifications including different explanatory variables are tested to investigate the geographical distribution of unemployment in the 103 provinces of Italy for the years 1998 and 2003. The results suggest that there is a clear explanation of unemployment differentials in terms of spatial equilibrium and disequilibrium factors and a significant degree of spatial dependence among labour markets at the provincial level in Italy. Provinces marked by high unemployment, as well as those characterized by low unemployment, tend to be spatially clustered, demonstrating the presence of unemployment ‘persistency’ in space and time regimes.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 07-065/3.

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Date of creation: 28 Aug 2007
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20070065

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Related research
Keywords: unemployment; spatial lag model; spatial autocorrelation; Italian provinces;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
R23 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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    Other versions:
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  1. Maria Cracolici & Miranda Cuffaro & Peter Nijkamp, 2009. "A spatial analysis on Italian unemployment differences," Statistical Methods and Applications, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 275-291, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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