Weak & Strong Financial Fragility
AbstractThe stability of the financial system at higher loss levels is either characterized by asymptotic dependence or asymptotic independence. If asymptotically independent, the dependency, when present, eventually dies out completely at the more extreme quantiles, as in case of the multivariate normal distribution. Given that financial service firms' equity returns depend linearly on the risk drivers, we show that the marginals' distributions maximum domain of attraction determines the type of systemic (in-)stability. A scale for the amount of dependency at high loss lovels is designed. This permits a characterization of systemic risk inherent to different financial network structures. The theory also suggests the functional form of the economically relevant limit copulas.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 07-023/2.
Date of creation: 14 Feb 2007
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl
Systemic Stability; Multivariate Extreme Value Analysis; Asymptotic (In-)dependence;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
- G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2007-05-26 (All new papers)
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Zhengjun Zhang, 2009. "On approximating max-stable processes and constructing extremal copula functions," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 89-114, February.
- Herrera, R. & Eichler, S., 2011. "Extreme dependence with asymmetric thresholds: Evidence for the European Monetary Union," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2916-2930, November.
- Geluk, J.L. & de Vries, C.G., 2004. "Weighted sums of subexponential random variables and asymptotic dependence between returns on reinsurance equities," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2004-47, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Tomas Fiala & Tomas Havranek, 2014.
"Ailing Mothers, Healthy Daughters? Contagion in the Central European Banking Sector,"
Working Papers IES
2014/10, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2014.
- Tomas Fiala & Tomas Havranek, 2014. "Ailing Mothers, Healthy Daughters? Contagion in the Central European Banking Sector," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1069, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Michael Falk & Diana Tichy, 2012. "Asymptotic conditional distribution of exceedance counts: fragility index with different margins," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 1071-1085, October.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Antoine Maartens (+31 626 - 160 892)).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.