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Last-In First-Out Oligopoly Dynamics

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Author Info
Jaap H. Abbring () (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)
Jeffrey R. Campbell () (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and NBER)

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Abstract

This paper extends the static analysis of oligopoly structure into an infinite-horizon setting with sunk costs and demand uncertainty. The observation that exit rates decline with firm age motivates the assumption of last-in first-out dynamics: An entrant expects to produce no longer than any incumbent. This selects an essentially unique Markov-perfect equilibrium. With mild restrictions on the demand shocks, a sequence of thresholds describes firms' equilibrium entry and survival decisions. Bresnahan and Reiss's (1993) empirical analysis of oligopolists' entry and exit assumes that such thresholds govern the evolution of the number of competitors. Our analysis provides an infinite-horizon game-theoretic foundation for that structure.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 06-110/3.

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Date of creation: 19 Dec 2006
Date of revision: 29 Dec 2007
Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20060110

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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl/

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Related research
Keywords: Sunk costs Demand uncertainty Markov-Perfect equilibrium LIFO

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

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  1. Jaap H. Abbring & Jeffrey R. Campbell, 2006. "Oligopoly dynamics with barriers to entry," Working Paper Series WP-06-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
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