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Which Brands gain Share from which Brands? Inference from Store-Level Scanner Data

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Author Info
Rutger van Oest () (Tilburg University)
Philip Hans Franses () (Faculty of Economics, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam)
Abstract

Market share models for weekly store-level data are useful to understand competitive structures by delivering own and cross price elasticities. These models can however not be used to examine which brands lose share to which brands during a specific period of time. It is for this purpose that we propose a new model, which does allow for such an examination. We illustrate the model for two product categories in two markets, and we show that our model has validity in terms of both in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting. We also demonstrate how our model can be used to decompose own and cross price elasticities to get additional insights into the competitive structure.

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Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 03-079/4.

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Date of creation: 06 Oct 2003
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20030079

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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl/

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Related research
Keywords: competitive structure elasticity decomposition market shares share-switching store-level scanner data

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - General
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
M31 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Marketing

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  1. Kumar, V. & Heath, Timothy B., 1990. "A comparative study of market share models using disaggregate data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 163-174, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Chen, Youhua & Kanetkar, Vinay & Weiss, Doyle L., 1994. "Forecasting market shares with disaggregate or pooled data: a comparison of attraction models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 263-276, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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