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Business Cycles, the Current Account, and Administered Protection in Mexico

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  • Joseph Francois

    ()
    (Faculty of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam, and CEPR)

  • Gunnar Niels

    ()
    (OXERA, and Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

Antidumping actions in the United States and EU are knownto be linked to macroeconomic conditions. In part, this is becausepositive injury findings may be easier to make in a downturn. Weexplore the evidence for Mexico, one of the main "new" antidumpingusing countries. Injury determination is also critica! in Mexico'santidumping policy, as a majority of unsuccessful complaints have beenrejected because of negative injury findings rather than negative findingsof dumping. Working with data from 1987 through 2000, we provideevidence for a relationship between macro-economic factors andantidumping complaints, including current account and exchange ratemovements, and both local and global general macroeconomicconditions.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 03-054/2.

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Date of creation: 18 Jun 2003
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20030054

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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl

Related research

Keywords: antidumping; politica! economy of trade policy ; Mexico.;

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References

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  1. Feinberg, Robert M, 1989. "Exchange Rates and "Unfair Trade."," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(4), pages 704-07, November.
  2. Michael M. Knetter & Thomas J. Prusa, 2000. "Macroeconomic Factors and Antidumping Filings: Evidence from Four Countries," NBER Working Papers 8010, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Bruce A. Blonigen & Thomas J. Prusa, 2001. "Antidumping," NBER Working Papers 8398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Michael P. Leidy, 1997. "Macroeconomic Conditions and Pressures for Protection under Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Laws: Empirical Evidence from the United States," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 132-144, March.
  5. Prusa, Thomas J., 1992. "Why are so many antidumping petitions withdrawn?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1-2), pages 1-20, August.
  6. Maurizio Zanardi, 2002. "Antidumping: What are the Numbers?," Working Papers 2002_15, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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Cited by:
  1. Joseph F. Francois & Gunnar Niels, 2004. "Political Influence in a New Antidumping Regime: Evidence from Mexico," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-011/2, Tinbergen Institute.
  2. Michael Moore & Maurizio Zanardi, 2008. "Trade Liberalization and Antidumping: Is There a Substitution Effect?," Working Papers ECARES 2008_024, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  3. Niels, Gunnar & ten Kate, Adriaan, 2006. "Antidumping policy in developing countries: Safety valve or obstacle to free trade?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 618-638, September.
  4. Avsar, Veysel, 2014. "Partisanship and antidumping," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 190-195.
  5. Nogues, Julio J. & Baracat, Elias, 2005. "Political economy of antidumping and safeguards in Argentina," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3587, The World Bank.

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