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On the Variation of Hedging Decisions in Daily Currency Risk Management

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Author Info

  • Charles S. Bos

    ()
    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Ronald J. Mahieu

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Herman K. van Dijk

    ()
    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

Internationally operating firrns naturally face the decision whether or not to hedge the currencyrisk implied by foreign investments. In a recent paper, Bos, Mahieu and van Dijk (2000) evaluatethe returns from optimal and alternative currency hedging strategies, for a series of 7 models,using Bayesian inference and decision analysis. The models differ in the way time-varying means,variances or the unconditional error distributions are incorporated. In this extension, we comparethe hedging decisions and financial returns and utilities as they result from the modellingassumptions and the attitudes towards risk.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 01-018/4.

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Date of creation: 08 Feb 2001
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20010018

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Web page: http://www.tinbergen.nl

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Keywords: Exchange rates; risk management; Bayesian analysis;

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References

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  1. Charles S. Bos & Ronald J. Mahieu & Herman K. van Dijk, 2000. "Daily Exchange Rate Behaviour and Hedging of Currency Risk," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0504, Econometric Society.
  2. Luc Bauwens & Charles S. Bos & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999. "Adaptive Polar Sampling with an Application to a Bayes Measure of Value-at-Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-082/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  3. Koopman, S.J.M. & Shephard, N. & Doornik, J.A., 1998. "Statistical Algorithms for Models in State Space Using SsfPack 2.2," Discussion Paper 1998-141, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  4. Kim, Sangjoon & Shephard, Neil & Chib, Siddhartha, 1998. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(3), pages 361-93, July.
  5. Geweke, John, 1989. "Exact predictive densities for linear models with arch disturbances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 63-86, January.
  6. Koop, Gary & Dijk, Herman K. Van, 2000. "Testing for integration using evolving trend and seasonals models: A Bayesian approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 261-291, August.
  7. Jorion, Philippe, 1985. "International Portfolio Diversification with Estimation Risk," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(3), pages 259-78, July.
  8. repec:fth:louvco:9957 is not listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
  1. Broto, Carmen & Ruiz, Esther, 2006. "Unobserved component models with asymmetric conditional variances," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2146-2166, May.

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