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Bias Correction in the Dynamic Panel Data Model with a Nonscalar Disturbance Covariance Matrix

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Maurice J.G. Bun () (University of Amsterdam)

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Abstract

Approximation formulae are developed for the bias of ordinary and generalized Least Squares Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in dynamic panel data models. Results from Kiviet (1995, 1999) are extended to higher-order dynamic panel data models with general covariance structure. The focus is on estimation of both short- and long-run coefficients. The results show that proper modelling of the disturbance covariance structure is indispensable. The bias approximations are used to construct bias corrected estimators which are then applied to quarterly data from 14 European Union countries. Money demand functions for M1, M2 and M3 are estimated for the EU area as a whole for the period 1991:I-1995:IV. Significant spillovers between countries are found reflecting the dependence of domestic money demand on foreign developments. The empirical results show that in general plausible long-run effects are obtained by the bias corrected estimators. Moreover, bias correction can be substantial underlining the importance of more refined estimation techniques. Also the efficiency gains by exploiting the heteroscedasticity and cross-correlation patterns between countries are sometimes considerable.

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Paper provided by Tinbergen Institute in its series Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers with number 01-007/4.

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Date of creation: 17 Jan 2001
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20010007

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  1. Kiviet, Jan F. & Phillips, Garry D. A., 1994. "Bias assessment and reduction in linear error-correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 215-243, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jan F. Kiviet, 1998. "Expectations of Expansions for Estimators in a Dynamic Panel Data Model; Some Results for Weakly-Exogenous Regressors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-027/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  3. Kiviet, Jan F. & Phillips, Garry D. A. & Schipp, Bernhard, 1995. "The bias of OLS, GLS, and ZEF estimators in dynamic seemingly unrelated regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 241-266, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Carlo C. A. Winder & Martin M. G. Fase, 1998. "Wealth and the demand for money in the European union," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 507-524. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Pesaran, M. H. & Zhao, Z., 1998. "Bias Reduction in Estimating Long-run Relationships from Dynamic Heterogenous Panels," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9802, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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  1. Giovanni S.F. Bruno & Anna M. Falzoni & Rodolfo Helg, 2004. "Measuring the effect of globalization on labour demand elasticity: An empirical application to OECD countries," CESPRI Working Papers 153, CESPRI, Centre for Research on Innovation and Internationalisation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, revised Feb 2004. [Downloadable!]
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