In this paper, I consider the identification of lagged duration dependence in multiple spells without using the assumtion that there are additional regressors orthogonal to the individual effects. The non-parametric identification strategy is applied to the multiple non-employment spells of 2066 new entrants. The estimated lagged duration dependence function rises for the first 4 months and thereafter decreases, suggesting negative effects of non-employment for long periods of non-employment.
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Bo Honore & Aureo de Paula, 2008.
"Interdependent Durations,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
08-007, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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